Velapanti Diaries 9

CURRENT GEOPOLITICAL HAPPENINGS THROUGH THE PRISM OF ‘NERVE OF LEADERSHIP

To a true Leader the word ‘nerve’ offers a wide gamut of inflection, ranging from knowing the nerve, have the nerve, holding the nerve, pressing the nerve, losing the nerve, to bundle of nerves, and even battle of nerves; showcasing courage, spirit, audacity, guts, insolence, sarcasm, humour, and so on with equal ease! – Col RS Sidhu

 

Nerves of Steel

What differentiates a true ‘Leader’ from a ‘bureaucratic head’, in any domain, is a deep understanding of the term ‘nerve in relation to leadership. Here, identifying own and the adversary’s ‘nerves of vulnerability’ is as critical as is the ‘inflexion point of the nerve’; the point, quantum, and time frame, of the pressure to be applied to make it collapse.

A lot has been articulated over centuries on leadership; is a leader required…are leaders born or made…ideal traits of a leader…and even on the art of leadership. But when the push comes to a shove, when confronted with a crisis situation where there is no right choice to be made; and the decision matrix lies between confronting the ‘devil or the deep sea’, it is the ‘nerve’ of the leader that makes the key difference between oblivion, penury or subservient existence, or retaining ‘strategic autonomy’. This holds true in all domains, military, geopolitical, corporate, as well as financial.

The phrase that best describes this phenomenon is ‘nerves of steel’!  

The Indian Examples

Post independence one of the foremost display of ‘nerves of steel’ in the military domain is the action during the 1965 War by a weak 4 Infantry Division occupying hasty defences in the Bhikiwind – Khemkaran sector, of withstanding repeated heavy armour assaults by Pakistan 1 Armoured Division supported by their 11 Infantry Division. Eventually, 4 Infantry Division in conjunction with 2 (I) Armoured Brigade, over three days of intense fighting from 8 to 10 September 1965, succeeded in turning certain defeat into overwhelming victory. Rarely, if ever, has an armoured division assault on an infantry brigade plus hasty defences in favourable ‘tank country’ been defeated in annals of military history. Pakistan offensive had all the military advantages of initiative, and overwhelming quantitative and quality superiority of armour, but were unable to break the ‘nerve’ of the defenders.

In the financial domain, the best example of nerves of steelis of Gautam Adani, the founding head of the Adani group, in withstanding the financial hit job of the ‘Hindenburg report’ in 2023 resulting in a sharp loss of INR 2.60 lakh crore of its market value, and loss of yet another INR 3.40 lakh crore, amounting to half its market value, in beginning 2025 consequent to launch of bribery investigation by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Adani group has continued to expand and diversify its business despite these massive capital loss.

In the geopolitical domain, there is no parallel to Mrs Indira Gandhi, the then Prime Minister’s decision to undertake military action against Pakistan in 1971. With US, a superpower, and China, an inimical and powerful neighbour, actively supporting Pakistan, exercising the option of forcing a military decision was an extraordinary one. Setting the geopolitical stage by seeking out the USSR umbrella, before exercising the chosen military option, was what enabled India to withstand the coercive power of US and China.

Looking futuristically, the decision of the Shri Narendra Modi led government of India to maintain ‘strategic autonomy in the face of POTUS Donald Trump action to browbeat India into submission through levy of 25% trade and 25% punitive tariffs and stalling the India – US trade deal, needs to be placed in the category of ‘nerves of steel’. There are two factors that make this categorisation a qualifying act. First is that this decision critically impacts all the domains of military, geopolitics, corporate, and finance. Secondly, India currently is by far the weakest of the ‘Big Four’ in global geopolitics, hence, the most vulnerable to geopolitical manipulations. So only time will tell whether the decision displays ‘nerves of steelor sheer foolhardiness.

The Harsh Reality of Geopolitics

Stripped of all façade, the naked truth is that geopolitics is thegame that nations play to pursue their national interest. These interests could range from proactively targeting future external threats, maintaining status quo in regional power balance, enforcing hostile regime change, coercive employment of force to intimidate weaker rivals, dynamics of competing ideologies, domestic political compulsions, securing key trading routes, mineral resources, and economic markets, et al.

This is a ‘game’ only for the most powerful. There is simply no place for ethics and righteousness, national self-interest being the primary guiding factor. The US ‘Monroe Doctrine’, the USSR ‘Brezhnev Doctrine’ replaced by its successor state Russia’s ‘Primakov Doctrine’, and the unilateral ‘Nine dash line’ to ‘Eleven dash line’ of China in the South China Sea, all verify this statement.  

Ongoing Geopolitical Contest of ‘Nerves of Steel’

At this critical juncture the global geopolitical narrative is revolving around the ‘Leadership Nerve’ of the ‘Big Four’ leaders, President Donald Trump of US, President Xi Jinping of China, President Vladimir Putin of Russia, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India.

It is a tight contest where each of them has amply displayed their ‘nerves of steel’ in both the domestic and geopolitical arena, and continue to maintain a tight grip on the reins of power in their respective countries. Interestingly, they have come to occupy their leadership space in a near simultaneous time frame; Trump in 2017 and again in 2025, Putin in 2012, Xi Jinping in 2013, and Modi in 2014.

These four are holding the leadership space that matters, at a vulnerable time for the future course of humanity. Their decisions and actions shall set the future direction of human kind for the coming century.

The prevailing geopolitical equations, alongside strategic options for India have already been elaborately covered in an earlier article of 11 August 2025,

Trump Tariff’ Gambit Carries The Trade War Into BRICS Camp’, that can be accessed at…

https://valleysandvalour.blogspot.com/2025/08/trump-tariff-gambit-carries-trade-war.html

There’s no change in the ibid analysis.

Suffice it to say, that the ongoing geopolitical stances and publicised overtures within the ‘Big Four’; Trump’s ostensible peace offerings to Xi; Putin’s high on optics but low on substance visit to India; Modi’s phone call to Trump; Trump’s offering a ‘Ukraine peace deal’ more favourable to Russia; make sense only when viewed through the lens of a contest of ‘nerves.’

None of it signals any permanent realignment of national interest. Whose ‘nerve’ breaks first is the only point of interest. But there is concern as well, as an impasse is the surest way to sliding into a global catastrophe.  

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